Tag: 2008

December 2008 Investment Commentary

As we expected, Barack Obama was elected President of the United States by an overwhelming majority. Obama garnered 365 electoral votes and 53% of the popular vote. In all my adult years of sitting up watching election returns, I don’t ever recall the winner being announced as early as 10pm (CST). In addition, the Democrats… Read more »

November 2008 Investment Commentary

The number of new home foreclosures for the month of September was announced October 23rd. There were 265,968 new foreclosures according to RealtyTrac. This was a 21% increase from September, 2007 but a 12% decline from August. However, according to RealtyTrac, much of the decline from August to September can be attributed to new state… Read more »

October 2008 Investment Commentary

September was possibly the most interesting month in my 27+career in the investment industry. September 3rd – Ospraie Fund, a $4 billion hedge fund closes after losing 38% in 2008 on bad bets in copper and natural gas. Lehman Brothers owned a 20% stake in the Ospraie Fund. September 7th – the U.S. Government placed… Read more »

September 2008 Investment Commentary

We have been so dour lately (actually this entire calendar year) that some of you may have ceased reading our monthly Investment Commentary. We are confident that the day will come when we will write glowingly optimistic summaries of the global economic conditions and just as optimistic predictions of the future performance of securities markets…..but… Read more »

August 2008 Investment Commentary

We have had a lot of people ask us what will happen to the stock market and other investments if Obama is elected or if McCain is elected. First of all, we think any sitting president gets way too much credit if the economy is good and way too much blame if the economy is… Read more »

July 2008 Investment Commentary

Today marks the 27th anniversary of Rich’s career in the investment industry, beginning as a stock broker at the prestigious (but now extinct) firm of Kidder, Peabody & Co. You can learn a lot in 27 years, much of it the hard way. The most valuable trait one can acquire when working on Wall Street… Read more »

June 2008 Investment Commentary

This past month Rich had the opportunity to attend the annual conference of the CFA Institute. This 4 day event, held in Vancouver, BC., included financial analysts from all over the world and venues for future conferences include Edinburgh & Singapore (with Orlando, Boston & Chicago thrown in as well). There are many hotels that… Read more »

May 2008 Investment Commentary

First, the good news (our recent IC’s have been so negative, we wanted to start on a positive note). As this is being written: Oil is trading at $111 per barrel, down from $120 earlier in April. Gross Domestic Product increased in the first quarter 0.6%. Personal income increased 0.4% from February to March. Personal… Read more »

April 2008 Investment Commentary

On January 12th, 2007, Bear Stearns stock price closed over $171 per share. On March the 11th, 2008, it closed just below $63 per share. On Sunday, March 16th, the Federal Reserve Bank assisted JP Morgan in organizing a “rescue” of Bear Stearns by purchasing shares of Bear Stearns at $2 per share. A week… Read more »

March 2008 Investment Commentary

Unfortunately, our March Investment Commentary isn’t any more optimistic than our previous 4 Investment Commentaries. Our economy is in the middle of a significant economic slowdown and the beginnings of significant inflation, a deadly combination that plagued our economy for most of the 1970’s. One year ago, a bushel of wheat was trading for about… Read more »

February 2008 Investment Commentary

After cutting the Fed Funds Rate to 4 ¼% in December, the Federal Reserve Bank slashed the Fed Funds Rate ¾% on Tuesday, January 22nd and another ½% on Wednesday, January 30th to 3%. As we said in our January Investment Commentary, this is nothing more than throwing tennis balls at an oncoming train. The… Read more »

January 2008 Investment Commentary

As expected, the Federal Open market Committee (FOMC) reduced the Fed Funds Rate at their December 11th meeting. The rate was reduced by ¼ % to 4 ¼ %. The Fed was criticized by some for not reducing the rate more (to ease credit, stimulate the economy and avoid a recession). The Fed was also… Read more »